ALMASI INSIDER · PILOT MARKET INTELLIGENCE

Nairobi Development
Inventory & Booking Tracker

A developing view of how selected Nairobi apartment projects are moving, what inventory remains, and which price and unit segments appear to be attracting buyers.

Updated: Coverage: Early pilot dataset Metric: Observed booking status, not completed legal sales
Projects Tracked 0
Observed Units 0
Snapshots 0
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This is a pilot market dataset.

Developer availability sheets can be stale, corrected or inconsistently coded. For these graphics, “sold” includes units marked reserved or paid because they are no longer available. Detailed project data still separates reserved from paid/booked where the developer provides that distinction.

MARKET SNAPSHOT

What the current dataset suggests

Use the filters to compare projects. Booking share is the percentage of observed units marked as booked or deposit paid on the latest available sheet.

Projects Tracked 0 Selected active developments
Observed Units 0 Latest project snapshots combined
Source Snapshots 0 Dated developer availability sheets
Neighborhoods 0 Current pilot coverage
CURRENT SALES POSITION

Share of Project Units Sold

Latest developer availability snapshot

Sold includes units marked reserved or paid on the developer’s latest availability sheet. This shows current project position, not sales speed.

PROJECT SALES HISTORY

Units Sold Over Time

Sold includes reserved and paid units. A falling count means units returned to availability or the developer corrected the sheet.

DEVELOPMENT UNIT MIX

What is each project actually made of?

Project sold share is easier to interpret when we know the underlying inventory mix. A development dominated by compact one-bedrooms serves a different buyer pool than one built mainly around two- and three-bedroom homes.

Next layer of analysis

As unit-level history grows, each segment can show its own current availability, booked share, net 30-day booking speed, 20% deposit benchmark price and price per sqm by neighborhood. Hephe pipeline movement remains separate until its four transaction stages are fully split.

PROJECT COMPARISON

Latest inventory, pricing and confidence

Price comparisons use the developer’s 20% deposit payment-plan asking price where available. Cash discounts, larger-deposit incentives and temporary promotions should be tracked separately.

DevelopmentAreaObserved UnitsAvailableReservedBookedSold ShareObserved Price RangeSnapshotsConfidence
PRICE POSITIONING

Entry Price vs Share of Units Sold

Pilot directional view

This compares current entry price with the share of observed inventory marked booked. It does not by itself prove investment quality or sales speed.

SALES VELOCITY

How Fast Are Units Selling?

Normalized to 30 days
Why net speed matters

We track new bookings minus units that return to availability. This is more useful than counting every booking once and ignoring cancellations, re-releases or sheet corrections.

AREA PRICE INDEX

Observed asking price per sqm by neighborhood

The area index uses unit-level price and size pairs from the latest available project price lists. It should be read as an observed sample, not yet as a complete Nairobi market average.

KES PER SQM

Current project sample

Median and observed range
HOW TO READ IT

Comparable pricing, not just headline prices

Median price per sqmReduces distortion from a few unusually large or premium units.
Unit-type comparisonStudios should be compared with studios, not family apartments.
Latest-price basisEach unit is counted once using the latest observed asking price.
Sample size shownOne-project area samples are clearly separated from broader area evidence.
NeighborhoodObserved ProjectsLow KES/SQMMedian KES/SQMHigh KES/SQMCurrent SampleCoverage Note
UNIT DEMAND

Which unit types appear to move in each area?

This is the core long-term value of the tracker: demand by neighborhood, bedroom type, sqm band, total price and price per sqm.

AreaUnit SegmentSizeTotal PricePrice per SQMSold Share30-Day Sales SpeedCurrent Signal
CURRENT DETAILED SAMPLE

Diplomat Layout Sales Share

Unit-level history currently available

This is a project-specific signal, not yet a Nairobi-wide conclusion. As Berkeley, Belgravia, Cheval and more developments gain unit-level history, this section can compare like-for-like layouts across Westlands, Kileleshwa, Riverside and other areas.

INSIDER TAKEAWAYS

What is useful already

Useful now

Marketing claims can be tested

“Selling fast” becomes measurable when we retain dated sheets instead of relying on a single current availability list.

Useful now

Re-releases become visible

When booked inventory later appears available again, the system can separate gross bookings from net inventory absorption.

Needs more data

True market-wide unit preference

Reliable studio versus one-bedroom versus two-bedroom conclusions require more projects and consistent weekly snapshots.

Needs more data

Pricing elasticity

We need repeated price lists to test whether price increases slow bookings or whether strong demand continues through increases.

METHODOLOGY

How Almasi interprets developer availability

The goal is a consistent observed-market measure, not a claim that every developer sheet is perfectly accurate.

1

Archive every dated sheet

Old sheets are never replaced. Each file becomes a historical inventory snapshot.

2

Normalize each legend

Developer colours and labels are translated into Available, Reserved, Booked or Unknown.

3

Compare units between dates

New bookings, status corrections, re-releases and price changes are tracked separately.

4

Score data confidence

Structured spreadsheets and confirmed legends receive more weight than scans or visually inferred colours.

Data notes, confidence and developer status rules

This information matters for auditability, but it is not the main buyer-facing insight. It explains how each developer’s availability markings were normalized.

Almasi availability rule

For these market graphics, a unit is counted as sold when the developer marks it reserved or paid, meaning it is no longer available. Reserved and paid/booked remain separate secondary stages in the detailed data. Decorative price lines or formatting that do not mark a unit are ignored.

Important: For display purposes, “sold” includes reserved and paid units. Detailed tables still separate reserved from paid/booked. It does not mean the sale agreement is complete, the full purchase price is paid, or legal title has transferred.
ALMASI BUYER ADVISORY

Market movement is useful. Unit-level judgment still matters more.

Almasi helps buyers compare the project, specific unit, price, payment plan, legal terms, view, floor, competing supply and realistic rental strategy before committing.

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